Supreme Trading Robot Blog


Thursday, 29 November 2012

The 2013 Forex KAIZEN Manifesto

A "checkerboard trader" hops and jumps all over the board trying to find the perfect system. He or she is jumping from one sure thing to another trying to find that holy grail.


Lack of fundamental trading knowledge is really the primary cause for so much struggling and time wasting, and it's sad. It's the reason why the overwhelming majority of people new to the Internet will fail in achieving their dreams even if they buy lots of automated systems, study the traditional indicators religiously, and work extremely hard.


I'm going to address the issues I see, because I know from past experience that my unique perspective can really make a tremendous difference in your trading. I cannot sit on the sidelines and allow so many dreams to fall by the wayside due to a misunderstanding of how successful trades are executed. I will expose those issues, one by one, and you will gain clarity about your relationship to this skill (and how to improve it substantially) that you've never had before.


To put online trading into perspective we have to go back in history a bit, before online trading.


If the names Larry Williams, Joe DiNapoli, and Jake Berstein mean nothing to you, that's not important. What is important is that these gentlemen and many others like them could do no wrong in the 1960s, 70s, and even 80s. They were super traders, making money with the simplest of systems.


They all gained such a reputation that they began selling their advice and counsel, and some still do today. Unfortunately, they don't seem to have updated their systems.


The most well-known trading phenomenon and story of all time may be that of the Turtles. These 14 students of Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt amassed fortunes by trading breakouts and made the trend following method famous.


As time and technology advanced, automation began to take over. The triggers that Williams and others had been using for entry and exit began to be packaged as indicators and sold to the trading public.


Why not? They had worked so wonderfully for such a long time.


But, unwittingly, these innovations were setting the stage for the confusion, frustration, and despair among today's traders. Why? None of them work like they used to.


I don't blame Williams, DiNapoli, Bernstein, et al. for anything devious. They were just trying to pass on some of their expertise. In fact, logic would tell you that these inventions were good-hearted. What they didn't anticipate is that these tools are now being used as weapons - no, a better word is "bait" - to extract money from the uneducated trader.


And I can't blame the brokerages that build these indicators into their platforms. They perceive it as a service feature that they must have in order to compete. But I can tell you for a fact that some professional traders watch the action around these indicators and trade against the amateurs, taking the other side of their trades.


Obstacles to Achieving the Success You Want As a Trader


Now that you know how the game has evolved, you should stop for a few minutes and reflect on how you have played it so far. Let's take a look at the obstacles you might face in actually creating a powerful methodology that has staying power.


By exposing and eliminating these problems, you'll be able to reach your goal faster (and easier) than you ever thought possible. These are the same overriding concepts on which ultra-wealthy traders operate.


Let's take a look at one fundamental problem most traders experience:


Symptoms: Buying anything that looks like it'll make you money, getting no results.


Cause: Opportunistic Thinking


Problem: Lack of Strategy


The very first obstacle we need to look at is you and your thinking. There are two different diametrically opposed ways of thinking when it comes to trading. There's opportunistic thinking and strategic thinking.


Having No Strategy Creates Frustration, Despair, Discouragement, and Failure


There are measurable actions in each trade that can be planned, becoming a part of your strategy. They are:


1. Environment


Have you assessed the environment in which you plan to trade? Is it volatile? Is it trending? Is it choppy? Is it being driven by scheduled news announcements? What time of day is it? Is it a rollover day? Is it subject to seasonal influences? Is it a popular market? What time frame is most appropriate? Should I use more than one time frame to assess the environment? What does the economic calendar say for today? How do I assess the overall environment? Should I use indicators or some other method?


2. Money Management / Position Size


What is your account size now? How much of your account can you risk on this trade? What position size will maximize the return? Where must your stop be? Will the stop placement jeopardize your risk tolerance? Is the MFE/MAE ratio favorable to your planned position size? Are there correlations in your positions?


3. Entry


At what price should you enter? Should you enter at the market? Should you enter on a breakout at a specific stop price? Should you enter on a pullback with a limit order? At what time of the session should you enter, based on the environment in this market? Do you go all in with one entry, or is it best to scale in? Should you plan to average down? Am I going to use an indicator? What indicator(s) should I use? Why am I entering this trade?


4. Position Management


Should you leave this position on overnight? Are trailing stops appropriate for this trade? Would chandelier stops work better? Should you add to the position, based on market behavior? At what point do you minimize the risk of losing focus with an action or protective order? Have I reached my daily loss limit? Should I hedge my position?


5. Exit


Should I exit at the market? Would a limit order be better? Would a stop order be even better? Should I trail the position now that exit is the strategy? Should I scale out or exit all the position with one order? Has the trade met my target? Did I have a target? Has the environment changed, requiring an exit even though my target hasn't been hit? Why am I exiting this trade?


6. Post-trade Reflection / Assessment


How much money did you make / lose? What mistakes were made? How can you improve the step(s) in which the mistake(s) were made? What were the metrics for this trade - MFE, MAE, hold time, session traded, position size, trade direction, and others?


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I beg your pardon for taking so much time on the negative. If you have two to three years' experience in the Forex market, all this negative stuff is probably familiar to you. If you're brand new to the arena, you need to hear this and become aware of it, so that you don't experience so much frustration in the future. But enough is enough, so let's get to the positive side of this manifesto.


To make a sustainable, substantive change in your life, you must do something substantially different. So what's different about what's being proposed in the Manifesto?


The first aspect of your strategy addressed is your mindset. Now, that's not revolutionary in the world of teaching these skills. There have been thousands of books and articles written on mindset with regards to how you should view your trading practices and how you should manage your mental state to achieve success. I have many of those books in my library and have studied them all, because I place this factor at the top of the list in successful trading.


However, the most important aspect of mindset in the KAIZEN system is that of treating your trading involvement like a business. You must view it as a business, no matter what your level of participation is - part-time private speculator or full-time investment advisor and money manager - as well as everything in between. Once you have established that mindset, then the principles of KAIZEN can be applied to create a powerful flood of improvements in your technique.


Most people don't think of trading as a series of actions or process steps, but that's exactly what it is. A business mindset helps you see that. And like any business enterprise, you must operate within certain standards for each step. Furthermore, KAIZEN is a process in itself - one of making continuous improvements to those standards.


Amateur traders think of trade success or failure in terms of the whole transaction. In other words, "I got in here, and I got out there. I lost money, so I failed." You will learn why that is a counter-productive way of looking at your trading, because it offers almost no useful feedback that leads to improvement. And this is what I mean by that: What step(s) of the process caused the failure? What about the environment, if anything, caused this trade to go wrong? What happened in the next step, and the next?


By breaking down each transaction into stages and evaluating each, just as if your trade had been processed on an assembly line, you will begin to discover your strengths and weaknesses. By analyzing each step in the process for each trade, you will establish a system of continuous improvement that will transform you from that defenseless "fish" into the grizzly bear.


This is KAIZEN, the system that made Japan the leading automobile manufacturer in the world. Anthony Robbins combined KAIZEN and neuro-linguistic programming to create a global self-help revolution. And it spawned many other performance improvement models, such as Six Sigma™. Employed as a means to learn and implement proven trading techniques in the correct way, it is explosive and highly rewarding.


The Internet is flooded with training, coaching, automation, gimmicks, tricks, magic bullets, and outrageous claims for making money day-trading. These shortcuts are as prolific as weight loss solutions, yet most of us are still fat and broke.


STOP, right now, and take stock of your part in all this folly. Where has it led you; what have you achieved that is sustainable? If you're reading this, I think I know the embarrassing, humiliating answer... and you do, too.


You can change that by reading the complete report at forexkaizen.org, where you will also find a little video that will make you happy for the next two hours - if not all day. It's all free and my gift to you today. Providing useful tips, reviews, articles and writings on forex online.

Wednesday, 28 November 2012

Forex Trading versus Real Estate

Forex trading and real estate are completely different investment opportunities, but they can be compared alongside each other. If you are looking to get into either, you should consider the pros and cons of both.


First off, you should decide whether you are more interested in passive income or capital gains. With real estate, you can rent out property to tenants, thus allowing you to achieve passive income. However you can also sell off your properties for more than you bought them for, thus allowing you to achieve capital gains. With this type of trading, you can use short-term trading strategies to make capital gains and you can use long-term trading strategies to make more passive income. When looking at the two investment opportunities like this, you can see that both Forex trading and real estate can allow you to achieve both passive income and capital gains.


However, real estate does require a much greater initial outlay than Forex trading does, since the minimum deposits offered by Forex brokers today, tend to be very competitive and low. Also, you will probably want to go with Forex trading particularly if you are looking for capital gains. This type of trading can be used to make passive income as already mentioned, but the prices of currency pairs do tend to fluctuate a lot more than the prices of properties, so capital gains are thought to be more easily achieved through trading currencies.


Another advantage of the Forex market, is its liquidity. You can buy and sell currencies in huge volumes within seconds, with just a click of a button. You can also trade on margin, using leverage to control more currency than you actually hold. With real estate, if you want to sell a property for example, you will most likely have to wait weeks if not months before you eventually find someone that is interested in purchasing the property you are selling.


Forex trading is also a lot more easier and convenient. You can trade from your own computer through your chosen Forex broker's trading platform at any time of day, since the market for currencies is open all day every day (not including the weekends). There are no negotiations and such like there are with real estate; when selling properties or advertising to potential tenants, you have to educate others about your properties etc. This is because no two properties are exactly the same; properties are not homogeneous products.


There are also some other complications when it comes to real estate; you will most likely have to hire others to take care of some of the work for you, like estate agents, lawyers etc. Not only does this all add to the complication of investing in real estate, but it also costs you good money and transaction costs generally are much higher in real estate than in Forex trading. There can also be issues with actual transactions in real estate; sometimes lawyers are required to sort out bad buyers, but in Forex trading, your Forex broker will guarantee that all of your transaction run smoothly no matter what; for example if you are looking to buy a particular currency pair your broker will ensure that you do get to buy the currency pair in question.


With real estate, you also tend to get stuck when the real estate market isn't doing too well. Also when you suspect that the prices of properties will fall in the future, you will also get stuck; you will have to choose to either wait it out or sell up quickly, which can be quite stressful. With Forex trading though, when you suspect that the prices of particular currencies will fall in the future, you can simply exchange those currencies in question for other currencies and then buy them back again in the future.


In conclusion, both Forex trading and real estate are legitimate investment opportunities in their own right. However, Forex trading is more ideal for the average investor. Both Forex trading and real estate can allow individual investors to achieve both passive income and capital gains, though it might be better to trade currencies for capital gains in particular. Forex trading also requires much less initial outlay. It is also much more convenient, easier, quicker and cheaper. It is also worth remembering that currencies are homogeneous and the currency market is highly liquid; these both act as advantages of Forex trading. Profits can also be achieved in the FX market, regardless of whether currencies are going down or up.


How Forex Trading Works is a resourceful website that serves to deliver free, online content relating to Forex trading, to anyone and everyone. Providing useful tips, reviews, articles and writings on forex online.

Tuesday, 27 November 2012

The Salary of a Forex Trader

The salary of a Forex trader has many determinants and different Forex traders will obviously make more money than others, with some making losses and some making millions every year. However, it is possible to make fairly accurate estimates as to how much traders actually make in the market for currencies.


First of all, the amount of work a Forex trader puts in will help to determine the amount of money that Forex trader in question actually earns. Hard work and earnings are both positively correlated with each other; the more you put into your Forex trading career, the more you will earn. It is important to note though, that productivity is perhaps more important than hard work. You can work hard but if you aren't productive you won't get anywhere; quantity and quality are both important, when it comes to your studying and practicing.


Forex trader salaries are also different for those who are self-employed and for those who trade currencies for firms. Traders who are employed by firms are generally thought to make more than self-employed ones since they can trade full-time, allowing for more practice etc. They also tend to get more guidance than self-employed traders and more pressure is put on them to succeed, whereas self-employed traders simply work for themselves. However, if you have a good work ethic and can keep at it, self-employed Forex traders can make a lot more money than those who are employed by firms.


Experience is also a strong determinant of how much a Forex trader makes each year. The more experience you have, the higher your salary will likely be as a trader of currencies. If you have no previous experience, you will most likely make a lot less than someone who has been trading for over 20 years, which is fairly obvious. This is why you need to make sure that you work hard and continue to practice throughout your Forex trading career, as experience really will help you to become a more profitable Forex trader.


By taking into account all factors that come into play, it is fair to say that a full-time, professional Forex trader will be able to make a minimum of $40,000 annually and many will be able to make more than $100,000 in their first year. Those who are very hard-working and experienced can make $1 million and upwards annually, too. Of course as previously mentioned though, some will take losses too - it is difficult to give a rough estimate but the figures mentioned already are fair.


In conclusion, different Forex traders will make different annual salaries; there are many variables and so it is impossible to give a single, solid figure. However, traders who trade professionally and who work full-time can expect to make a minimum of $40,000, with no real maximum. There really are no limits in Forex trading; George Soros made a profit of around $1.1 billion once, in a single day in the Forex market. It is true that this man was very rich beforehand, but this case alone proves that you really can make a huge amount of money on the foreign exchange. It's good to fantasize, but make sure that you do get your head down and start working towards your goals, because it isn't easy trading currencies and the sooner you start the better.


How Forex Trading Works is a resourceful website that serves to deliver free, online content relating to Forex trading, to anyone and everyone. Providing useful tips, reviews, articles and writings on forex online.

Monday, 26 November 2012

Creating Profits Using Technical Analysis Trading Strategies

It is no secret that you can truly generate income through foreign exchange. However, it is also a tricky industry to be a part of, as nothing is really certain in the field. You can make many money in one moment and then lose more in another second. This doesn't scare off a lot of traders, though, especially since there are excellent ways how to make it in the forex trade. One good example of this is learning forex trading strategies.


Strategies in Forex Trading


There are many options when it comes to the techniques you can use in trading stocks and shares. They mostly depend on how you tackle things as well as your goals. This is why you need to choose properly when it comes to these things.


To better learn what can work for you, experts suggest trying the different methods yourself. Trying forex demo accounts can help you out with this, as it can put you in trading situations minus the big risks. You can actually do a trial and error process, like many experienced traders, and figure out which method will work for you best.


Trading Using Technical Analysis


It is said that technical analysis is one of the best strategies in forex that you can try It follows the notion that prices move in a specific manner. This is uses previous movements and trends in predicting movements in prices, allowing traders to predict which shares to buy or sell at a particular moment.


Some argue that technical analysis trading strategies are not necessarily foolproof as the whole stock market is very finicky in general. However, as statistics will show you, although nothing is ever certain in trading stocks, previous trends can still be the most reliable things you can use to predict future events. This is why this strategy continues to be very useful too many.


Using Technical Analysis in Trading


If you choose to use this strategy in trading stocks, there are ways that you can use it for your own benefit. One example is to use volume as an indicator for buy point. Another is the Stochastic Indicator, which is a classic in the Forex trade. It is basically a momentum indicator that measures over bought and over sold. It is also very handy in comparing closing prices. This method can also use charting software programs that show high low price action.


All in all, technical trading strategies use trends as its main basis for making predictions. This is why it proves to be one of the most reliable techniques in forex trading, as nothing can beat trends in indicating which share should be most profitable in a specific moment. Although, it is not exactly foolproof, you can still get a good leg up by using it.


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